Geopolitical risk in the Middle East - what does it mean for insurers?

Dealing with geopolitical risk is a fundamental aspect of both managing investment portfolios and running financial services companies. This year has seen more of it than most.

The situation in the Middle East escalated dramatically as regional rivals exchanged air raids and missile strikes.

As we begin the second half of 2025, a fragile ceasefire between Iran and Israel is in place. This agreement ended the ‘12-day war’ between the two sides, which also saw direct American involvement in aid of Israel.

According to Fawaz Chaudhry, Head of Equities at Fulcrum Asset Management, given that Iran’s nuclear programme has been effectively set back, the likeliest scenario is a period of relative calm that brings oil prices down and reduces geopolitical risk for investors.

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